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Carmelo Nigrelli is the new mayor of the City of Mosaics. Defeated by 73 votes to scrap his opponent Joseph Mattia.
According to figures circulating around the network at 17 of June 30, 2008, Nigrelli 5448 harvest would vote against the 5247 Mattia.
The figures released by the Prefecture of Enna in the evening confirmed the victory by a narrow margin: 5326 votes to 5253 for Carmelo Nigrelli and Joseph Matthew, a difference of only 73 votes
Our expectations were very clear: neither candidate has passed the threshold of 5600 votes. The competition was neck and neck, the thin margin of victory.
The valid votes were 341 to more than 10,579 cards and 48 white void, for a total of 10,968 voters, our estimate was about 11,000 votes.

(previous article on the forecasts of the outcome of the runoff)





At Piazza Armerina, in local elections of 2008, the numbers would seem to give a Mayor Matthew advantage to the candidate. The lists who supported him in the first round have collected 44% of valid votes.

But his name but he was voted by 33% of voters. about 11% less. of voters four parties who supported him do not like it, or do not like the advisors proposed by him.

candidate for the Mayor Nigrelli, however, seems to be more liked his name and the advisors proposed by him. Indeed Nigrelli collects 10% of the votes in most of the lists that support it. Votes thus come from voters who did not vote for the listings that appoggianovano the first round.

Certainly it is not possible from these numbers do is cabals Naples. But if the approximately 5000 votes that went to other lists (Non-mayoral candidate on the ballot) were distributed supposedly with the same trend on Nigrelli and Matt (and therefore with a 25% less for Matthew and a 10% more for Nigrelli) may find that, of these hypothetical 5000 votes, 2025 to 2975 and would go to Matthew Nigrelli.

And if so: Matt would combine
4624 (taken in the first round) + 2025 = 6649
would combine and Nigrelli 3654 (taken in the first round) + 2975 = 6629
a result practically equal ...
must also consider that the number of those who will vote with the vote expected to increase in inverse proportion to the number of candidates "eligible for voting." Then at least 2000 votes less, about 11,000 or valid votes cast.
Previsone thus: for less than 5600 compared to less than 5600 for Matthew Nigrelli.
We'll see.